Bitcoin Detail
On-chain metrics and cycle analysis
Price
$81,581
200-Week MA
$66,468
Price / 200W MA
1.23
Neutral
MVRV
1.32
Neutral • 2026-03-18 (stale)
ATH Drawdown
-25%
From $108,786 ATH
Bitcoin Price vs 200-Week Moving Average
MVRV Ratio Over Time
Market Value / Realized Value
LTH Supply in Profit
Stale (224d)
50.6%Neutral
Deep value zone< 45%
Fair value zone< 50%
Updated: 2026-03-04 (224d ago)
LTHSP from DeFi Report 3/4/2026. STH cost basis (~$85K) = 6-month holder cost basis. MVRV from DeFi Report. 200WMA from TradingView. Update weekly.
ETF Price Converter
Translate crypto targets into ETF share prices for limit orders
FBTC (BTC)
$71.08
1,148 shares = 1 BTC
-1.3%
BTC Target → FBTC Price
| BTC Price | FBTC |
|---|---|
| $50,000 | $43.56 |
| $55,000 | $47.92 |
| $60,000 | $52.27 |
| $65,000 | $56.63 |
| $70,000 | $60.99 |
Ratios shift slightly over time due to fund fees. Updated: 2026-10-14
Historical Returns by MVRV Zone
Based on DeFi Report analysis of 2018 and 2022 bear market cycles. Returns measured from entry at each MVRV level.
| Zone | 1Y Return | 2Y Return | 3Y Return | Historical Examples |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair Value (MVRV ~1.2) | ~100% | ~200% | ~278% | 2018 bear, 2022 bear |
| Deep Value (MVRV ~1.0) | ~200% | ~400% | ~560% | Late 2018, mid 2022 |
| Below Realized (MVRV <1.0) | ~400% | ~800% | ~1,254% | Dec 2018, Nov 2022 |